The Tisza Party has overtaken Fidesz, poll finds

For the first time in a long while, Fidesz-KDNP is not at the top of the party popularity list in Hungary, as by the beginning of November Péter Magyar's party, Tisza, had secured the support of 30 percent of the overall population, thus overtaking the governing party

– the latest representative survey on party preferences conducted by the IDEA Institute between 31 October and 8 November 2024 has found. The margin of error is 2.3 percent. According to the survey, 30 percent of Hungary's adult population would vote for the Tisza Party, while support for the governing parties was 28 percent. This would have given the former 41 percent among certain voters who are able to choose a party, and Fidesz-KDNP 38 percent. Apart from the two big parties, only the far-right Mi Hazánk, which currently has the support of 7 percent of the certain voters, and the Democratic Coalition (DK) which has 6 percent, would definitely pass the 5-percent threshold needed to make it into parliament, i.e. if the parliamentary elections were held now, there would be a four-party parliament.

However, the IDEA Institute cautions that the parliamentary elections are still a long time away, roughly a year and a half, so the figures are "not so much an estimate of the likely outcome" as a reflection of the current political mood in the country.

Pollsters not linked to the government have unanimously measured the Tisza party catching-up in recent months. The government's propaganda outlets reacted to this phenomenon by accusing the polling agencies of intentionally overweighting the opposition party's numbers in a concerted "manipulation roundtable".