79 percent of survey respondents believe: they already know how they will vote in the April 12 elections in Hungary; 2 percent will decide in the final weeks, 8 percent in the final days, and 7 percent said they will make their final decision in the voting booth, according to the latest public opinion poll by the Publicus Institute. According to data from the representative survey conducted for Népszava, 9 percentage points more are certain what their decision will be compared to the survey conducted a month earlier.
If the elections were to be held this coming Sunday, the decision among certain voters with a party preference, would be as follows:
- the Tisza Party would receive 49 percent (an increase of two percentage points compared to the survey at the end of February);
- Fidesz would receive 40 percent (an increase of one percentage point compared to the most recent survey);
- Mi Hazánk would receive 6 percent (unchanged);
- the MKKP and DK would each receive 3 percent (a one-percentage-point drop in both cases).
Among all respondents, Tisza and Fidesz each received 36 percent and 30 percent, Mi Hazánk received 4 percent, and the MKKP and DK remained at 3 percent each, while 24 percent of voters remain undecided.
According to Publicus Institute, 39 percent of respondents said that most of their neighbors and acquaintances are expecting the Tisza Party to win. 71 percent of those who said this were the Tisza Party’s voters, 27 percent were undecided, and 9 percent were supporters of Fidesz. 28 percent of those surveyed said that most of their neighbors and acquaintances expect Fidesz to win. 71 percent of those who expressed this opinion were Fidesz voters, 14 percent were undecideds, and 8 percent wereTisza Party’s voters.
The surveyors found that a relative majority of those questioned – nearly one in two respondents (49 percent versus 35 percent) – would prefer it if Fidesz lost the 2026 elections, and this is the first time since January 2025, according to Publicus’s polling that there are more people – albeit by only a small margin of 39 percent to 38 percent – who believe that Fidesz will lose the elections and there will be a change in government.
Methodology
The survey was conducted by Publicus Institute between March 27 and 30, 2026, through telephone interviews with 1,002 individuals representative of the country’s adult population, as part of the Publicus Omnibus survey. Sampling biases were corrected using weighting based on data from the 2022 Census by the Hungarian Central Statistical Office (KSH). The composition of the survey respondents by gender, age, educational attainment, region, and type of settlement where they live provides a reliable representation of the composition of the Hungarian population according to these criteria. Given the sample size, it can be stated with 95 percent confidence that the data obtained from the survey deviate by no more than +/- 3.1 percentage points from what we would have obtained by surveying all Hungarian residents aged 18 or older. However, this margin of error is bigger if a distribution is applied not to the total number of respondents, but to a smaller subgroup.