Tisza Party at 47 percent, Fidesz at 39 percent among those certain to vote in April

According to the latest public opinion poll conducted by the IDEA Institute, based on the responses of those certain to vote, who know which party they will vote for, the Tisza Party would have received 47 percent of the votes and Fidesz–KDNP 39 percent if Hungary had held parliamentary elections in late November or early December. Based on the data, at the time of the survey, DK's support among those certain to voter would have reached the 5 percent threshold (required to form a parliamentary faction), while Mi Hazánk and MKKP would most likely have fallen 1-2 percent short of that threshold in a December election.

According to the survey, the Tisza Party's lead over the ruling parties rose by 1 percentage point among the entire population and among those who are certain to vote and know which party they will choose. This is still well within the margin of error, meaning that the gap between the two parties has essentially remained unchanged.

In IDEA's previous survey, the Tisza Party stood at 47 percent and Fidesz–KDNP at 40 percent among voters who were certain about which party they would vote for. Since then, the ruling parties have lost one percentage point, while the largest opposition party's result has remained unchanged.

Methodology

Data collection was carried out using a self-completed online questionnaire (CAWI) between November 27, 2025, and December 4, 2025. The sample consisted of 1,500 people, selected using quotas, and was representative of the adult population in terms of age, educational level, type of settlement and the region of residence, based on the latest data from the Hungarian Central Statistical Office (KSH). The target group was the adult population aged 18 and over.